Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 219.257635 246.520189 276.664574 312.610292 354.491457 401.969339 460.178658
2025-02-16 173.656173 208.615436 250.605459 305.309190 375.509804 463.698150 584.676255
2025-02-23 148.227995 185.821738 233.481752 299.371007 389.762025 511.942636 694.079513
2025-03-02 135.101536 175.419007 228.882092 306.618943 419.628921 582.676015 844.986113
2025-03-09 122.898913 164.177806 220.962968 307.065800 438.536852 639.229142 984.729709
2025-03-16 111.388043 152.331722 210.400091 301.615208 446.872278 679.796127 1105.789045
2025-03-23 103.603922 144.819575 204.971285 302.686626 464.734302 737.438964 1267.384281
2025-03-30 95.253726 135.590870 195.886662 296.658592 469.684198 773.366535 1396.212511
2025-04-06 89.063254 128.999705 190.084170 295.026111 481.463125 822.677998 1561.911027
2025-04-13 81.208586 119.180785 178.285538 281.997672 471.191864 829.043109 1639.066897
2025-04-20 78.817394 117.708158 179.670128 291.533949 503.075266 921.767483 1929.703251
2025-04-27 77.080767 117.100912 182.343436 303.514168 541.120224 1033.773008 2298.793705
2025-05-04 73.143068 112.680676 178.361532 303.239891 555.667129 1100.132870 2578.746336
2025-05-11 68.339932 106.489690 170.852079 295.620265 554.304743 1131.221490 2775.453440
2025-05-18 64.305377 101.316320 164.702114 289.931165 556.154094 1170.019961 3007.496117
2025-05-25 62.508671 99.852450 165.022326 296.897035 586.338844 1283.120047 3508.026491
2025-06-01 59.931013 96.835776 162.256143 297.326507 601.915581 1362.830309 3934.483116
2025-06-08 56.809845 92.651222 157.004731 292.087814 603.621535 1406.458136 4254.785730
2025-06-15 54.735874 90.215063 154.851204 293.117647 620.355580 1494.804992 4781.523019
2025-06-22 51.985468 86.381400 149.752715 287.323138 619.592867 1533.399313 5132.002480
2025-06-29 49.928727 83.707969 146.718648 285.753715 629.255618 1605.093032 5659.222274
2025-07-06 46.779452 78.835028 139.062231 273.225653 609.131467 1581.904965 5755.519724
2025-07-13 46.201480 78.762305 140.928283 282.396178 647.398701 1751.857810 6859.070349